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Jonathan Taylor

Jonathan Taylor Carries
Player Prop Week 10

Las Vegas Raiders vs Indianapolis Colts

Jonathan Taylor Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-135/+105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects Jonathan Taylor to accrue 17.2 carries this week, on average, ranking him in the 89th percentile among RBs.

The Las Vegas Raiders safeties profile as the 32nd-worst unit in the NFL this year when it comes to run defense.

The Indianapolis Colts have gone for it on 4th down 23.6% of the time since the start of last season (7th-most in the NFL), which usually means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Colts are a 4-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the 5th-least run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 36.6% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the 8th-most sluggish paced defense in the league (adjusted for context) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 28.70 seconds per play.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

The Indianapolis Colts O-line profiles as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year at blocking for rushers.

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