Jonathan Taylor Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Jonathan Taylor

NFL · Player Props

Jonathan Taylor

RB · Indianapolis Colts

Carries

Las Vegas Raiders vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 14, 2022 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Jonathan Taylor Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-135/+105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects Jonathan Taylor to accrue 17.2 carries this week, on average, ranking him in the 89th percentile among RBs.
The Las Vegas Raiders safeties profile as the 32nd-worst unit in the NFL this year when it comes to run defense.
The Indianapolis Colts have gone for it on 4th down 23.6% of the time since the start of last season (7th-most in the NFL), which usually means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive stats across the board.

Favors Under

The Colts are a 4-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the 5th-least run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 36.6% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the 8th-most sluggish paced defense in the league (adjusted for context) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 28.70 seconds per play.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Indianapolis Colts O-line profiles as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year at blocking for rushers.

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