Jonathan Mingo Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Jonathan Mingo

NFL · Player Props

Jonathan Mingo

WR · Dallas Cowboys

Touchdowns

Indianapolis Colts vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 9, 2026

Updated Nov 6, 2026 6:55 PM EST

Analysis

Jonathan Mingo Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+752/-1087).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ 0 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1087.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cowboys to pass on 60.0% of their plays: the 8th-highest frequency among all teams this week.
The projections expect the Dallas Cowboys offense to be the 6th-fastest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.44 seconds per play.
The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop-off.
After accruing 10.0 air yards per game last season, Jonathan Mingo has produced significantly more this season, currently pacing 17.0 per game.
When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Indianapolis's LB corps has been dreadful this year, ranking as the worst in football.

Favors Under

With a 5.5-point advantage, the Cowboys are favored this week, suggesting more of a reliance on running than their normal approach.
Opposing QBs teams have been wary to test the pass defense of the Indianapolis Colts, averaging the fewest attempts in the league (just 28.6 per game) this year.
With a low 2.0% Red Zone Target% (22nd percentile) this year, Jonathan Mingo stands as one of the wide receivers with the highest volume near the goal line in football.
Jonathan Mingo's 8.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive usage) grades out among the worst in football: 15th percentile for wide receivers.
The receiving touchdown line reads "0" on Jonathan Mingo's box scores this year.

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