Jonathan Mingo Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Jonathan Mingo

NFL · Player Props

Jonathan Mingo

WR · Dallas Cowboys

Touchdowns

Dallas Cowboys vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 8, 2026

Updated Oct 30, 2026 5:07 PM EST

Analysis

Jonathan Mingo Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+756/-1235).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ 0 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1235.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The model projects the Cowboys as the 6th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 60.3% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Right now, the 9th-most pass-oriented team in the league near the end zone (58.7% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Dallas Cowboys.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by our trusted projection set to have 130.9 plays on offense called: the 4th-most out of all the games this week.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Jonathan Mingo has compiled many more air yards this year (19.0 per game) than he did last year (10.0 per game).

Favors Under

The Cowboys are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a running game script.
Opposing QBs have averaged 30.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Cardinals defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the league.
With a dismal 2.2% Red Zone Target% (22nd percentile) this year, Jonathan Mingo rates as one of the wideouts with the most usage near the goal line in football.
Jonathan Mingo rates in just the 18th percentile for WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive usage) with a subpar 9.1 figure this year.
With an awful ratio of just 0.00 per game through the air (1st percentile), Jonathan Mingo places among the weakest receiving touchdown-scorers in football when it comes to wideouts this year.

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