Jonathan Mingo Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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NFL · Player Props

Jonathan Mingo

WR · Dallas Cowboys

Touchdowns

Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 7, 2026

Updated Oct 26, 2026 8:02 PM EST

Analysis

Jonathan Mingo Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1329/-1567).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Right now, the 5th-most pass-focused team in football near the end zone (60.1% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Dallas Cowboys.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is expected by the projections to see 136.1 plays on offense called: the 2nd-highest number among all games this week.
The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Philadelphia Eagles defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (39.2 per game) this year.
After accumulating 10.0 air yards per game last season, Jonathan Mingo has been rising this season, currently pacing 16.0 per game.

Favors Under

A rushing game script is suggested by the Cowboys being a 4-point favorite in this week's contest.
Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 59.9% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest clip among all teams this week.
With a bottom-tier 2.6% Red Zone Target Rate (25th percentile) this year, Jonathan Mingo rates as one of the WRs with the highest volume near the goal line in the league.
Jonathan Mingo's 8.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the worst in the league: 19th percentile for wideouts.
Since the start of last season, Jonathan Mingo has not caught any TDs through the air since the start of last season.