Jonathan Mingo Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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NFL · Player Props

Jonathan Mingo

WR · Dallas Cowboys

Touchdowns

Houston Texans vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 4, 2026

Updated Oct 4, 2026 12:37 PM EST

Analysis

Jonathan Mingo Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+2244/-3474).

Key Factors

Favors Over

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Cowboys are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of a reliance on throwing than their typical game plan.
The leading projections forecast the Cowboys to be the 2nd-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 62.5% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast the Dallas Cowboys to be the 8th-most pass-oriented offense in the league near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 60.1% red zone pass rate.
The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.9 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
The Dallas Cowboys have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 59.8 plays per game.

Favors Under

With a measly 0.0% Red Zone Target Rate (1st percentile) this year, Jonathan Mingo places as one of the WRs with the biggest workloads near the end zone in the NFL.
Jonathan Mingo has compiled a feeble 8.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: a lowly 14th percentile among wide receivers.
Jonathan Mingo rates in just the 10th percentile among WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive usage) with an unimpressive 2.4 mark this year.
The Dallas Cowboys offensive line grades out as the 3rd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative influence on all pass attack metrics across the board.
Jonathan Mingo ranks in the 1st percentile among wideouts when it comes to catching TDs since the start of last season, averaging just 0.00 per game.