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Jonathan Mingo

Jonathan Mingo Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

New Orleans Saints vs Carolina Panthers

Jonathan Mingo Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-107/-121).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -109 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -121.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Carolina Panthers feature a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Thomas Brown, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to tilt 6.2% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).

This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Panthers, who are -5.5-point underdogs.

The predictive model expects the Panthers to call the 5th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.8 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The Panthers have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a staggering 62.5 plays per game.

The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing offenses teams have been disinclined to lean on the pass against the Saints, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 33.8 per game) this year.

In regards to pocket protection (and the effect it has on all pass attack metrics), the O-line of the Panthers profiles as the 3rd-worst in football this year.

Jonathan Mingo ranks as one of the most hard-handed receivers in the league, hauling in a measly 49.8% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 3rd percentile among wideouts

This year, the formidable New Orleans Saints defense has given up a puny 59.7% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wideouts: the 4th-smallest rate in football.

As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, New Orleans's unit has been great this year, projecting as the 8th-best in the NFL.

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