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Jonathan Mingo

Jonathan Mingo Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Carolina Panthers vs Indianapolis Colts

Jonathan Mingo Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 37.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 38.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 37.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Carolina Panthers have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Thomas Brown, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to skew 6.2% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projection model to have 133.0 total plays run: the highest number among all games this week.

The Panthers have called the 4th-most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 63.4 plays per game.

The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being called for in this game, while rush volume may go down.

Jonathan Mingo has run a route on 92.9% of his offense's passing plays this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile among wideouts.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

As it relates to protecting the passer (and the importance it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Carolina Panthers profiles as the 2nd-worst in the league this year.

Jonathan Mingo is positioned as one of the most unreliable receivers in the league, catching a measly 56.0% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 12th percentile among wideouts

Jonathan Mingo grades out as one of the least efficient pass-catchers in the NFL, averaging a lowly 5.42 adjusted yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 8th percentile among wide receivers

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