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John Wolford
NFL · Player Props
John Wolford
QB · Los Angeles Rams
TD Passes
Los Angeles Rams vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 13, 2022 Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM UTC
NFL Props John Wolford TD Passes

John Wolford TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+209/-286).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -278 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +209.

Favors Over
  • The Los Angeles Rams will be rolling with backup quarterback John Wolford in this game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • The Rams are a big 7-point underdog in this game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams as the 10th-most pass-centric offense in the league near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 59.8% red zone pass rate.
  • The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • The Seattle Seahawks defense has conceded the 6th-most passing TDs in football: 1.64 per game this year.
Favors Under
  • THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the 4th-worst paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, with opposing offenses averaging 29.01 seconds per snap.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 8th-least in the league.
  • The Los Angeles Rams O-line profiles as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.
  • The Seattle Seahawks safeties rank as the 6th-best group of safeties in football this year in covering receivers.
  • The Los Angeles Rams have incorporated play action on a mere 21.0% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (5th-least in the league), making the offense more predictable and lowering passing effectiveness.
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