John Bates Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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John Bates

NFL · Player Props

John Bates

TE · Washington Commanders

Touchdowns

Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Commanders · Week 2, 2026

Updated Sep 20, 2026 4:27 PM EST

Analysis

John Bates Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+752/-1087).

Key Factors

Favors Over

A passing game script is implied by the Commanders being a -4-point underdog this week.
With regard to a defense's impact on pace, at 28.44 seconds per play, the projections expect the Commanders to be the 10th-most sluggish in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment.
The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.
Opposing offenses have averaged 33.3 pass attempts per game versus the Cowboys defense since the start of last season: 9th-most in the league.
Opposing teams have completed passes at the highest level in the league versus the Dallas Cowboys defense since the start of last season (76.1% Adjusted Completion%).

Favors Under

At the present time, the 8th-most run-focused offense in the NFL in the red zone (46.2% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Commanders.
Opposing teams have rushed for the 3rd-most touchdowns in football (1.33 per game) versus the Dallas Cowboys defense since the start of last season.

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