John Bates Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 4

reorder

NBA Season Tips Off Soon — Don’t Miss the Action! 🏀 19:14:58 🏀 SUBSCRIBE NOW

NFL · Player Props

John Bates

TE · Washington Commanders

Receptions

Washington Commanders vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 4, 2026

Updated Oct 4, 2026 3:47 PM EST

Analysis

John Bates Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Washington Commanders will be starting backup quarterback Marcus Mariota in this week's game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
The Commanders are a 5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script.
At the present time, the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Commanders.
Opposing QBs have averaged 36.1 pass attempts per game against the Colts defense since the start of last season: 3rd-most in football.
John Bates has been a less important option in his team's offense this season, staying on the field for just 32.4% of snaps compared to 48.9% last season.

Favors Under

At the present time, the 5th-least pass-oriented offense in the NFL (58.0% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Commanders.
With a feeble 1.1 adjusted receptions per game (23rd percentile) since the start of last season, John Bates has been as one of the worst pass-catching tight ends in football.