My Account Log Out

reorder

John Bates

John Bates Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Washington Commanders vs Tennessee Titans

John Bates Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+151/-210).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +153 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +151.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Washington Commanders have run the 6th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 67.0 plays per game.

Opposing teams have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game against the Tennessee Titans defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.

THE BLITZ projects John Bates to garner 3.9 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 77th percentile among tight ends.

THE BLITZ projects John Bates to be a more integral piece of his offense's air attack this week (11.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (5.8% in games he has played).

The Tennessee Titans pass defense has yielded the highest Completion% in the league (87.4%) to tight ends this year (87.4%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Washington Commanders offensive line profiles as the 10th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all air attack statistics across the board.

John Bates's possession skills have worsened this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 86.8% to 61.2%.

The Washington Commanders have gone up against a stacked the box on a mere 12.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-least in the league. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

The Tennessee Titans have stacked the box versus opponents on just 10.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in the league. Choosing not to position an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

More John Bates Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™