My Account Log Out

reorder

John Bates

John Bates Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Washington Commanders vs Buffalo Bills

John Bates Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Washington Commanders will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 9.8% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).

The Commanders are a 5.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders as the 4th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 63.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The Washington Commanders have called the 3rd-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 62.2 plays per game.

John Bates has been responsible for a whopping 10.0% of his team's air yards this year: 76th percentile among tight ends.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Commanders to run the 4th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 61.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Opposing teams have averaged 31.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Buffalo Bills defense since the start of last season: 6th-least in the league.

The Washington Commanders offensive line ranks as the 4th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all air attack statistics across the board.

John Bates has been among the least effective receivers in the league among TEs, averaging a mere 5.75 yards-per-target since the start of last season while checking in at the 24th percentile.

The Buffalo Bills defense has surrendered the 2nd-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 31.0) versus tight ends since the start of last season.

More John Bates Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™