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John Bates

John Bates Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles

John Bates Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Commanders are a 6-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders as the 5th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 62.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 126.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Washington Commanders O-line ranks as the 6th-best in football since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all pass game metrics across the board.

John Bates has been among the most reliable receivers in the league among tight ends, hauling in a stellar 80.6% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, grading out in the 89th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.

The Philadelphia Eagles defense has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a mere 2.40 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 7th-fastest in the NFL since the start of last season.

The Washington Commanders have gone up against a stacked the box on a mere 12.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-least in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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