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Joe Mixon

Joe Mixon Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Joe Mixon Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 58.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 53.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 58.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bengals are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Bengals to run the 9th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Joe Mixon to earn 14.7 rush attempts in this game, on average, putting him in the 87th percentile among RBs.
  • Joe Mixon has earned 68.7% of his team's rush attempts since the start of last season, ranking him in the 98th percentile among RBs.
  • Joe Mixon has grinded out 61.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the biggest figures in football among RBs (86th percentile).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 2nd-least run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 34.9% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals O-line grades out as the 10th-worst in the league since the start of last season at opening holes for rushers.
  • Joe Mixon has been among the bottom running backs in the league at picking up extra rushing yardage, averaging a measly 2.73 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while checking in at the 23rd percentile.
  • Opposing teams have run for the 3rd-least yards in the NFL (just 92 per game) against the Baltimore Ravens defense since the start of last season.

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