Joe Mixon Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Joe Mixon

NFL · Player Props

Joe Mixon

RB · Cincinnati Bengals

Rushing Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 17, 2023 5:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Joe Mixon Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 58.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 53.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 58.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bengals are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Bengals to run the 9th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Joe Mixon to earn 14.7 rush attempts in this game, on average, putting him in the 87th percentile among RBs.
Joe Mixon has earned 68.7% of his team's rush attempts since the start of last season, ranking him in the 98th percentile among RBs.
Joe Mixon has grinded out 61.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the biggest figures in football among RBs (86th percentile).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 2nd-least run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 34.9% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Cincinnati Bengals O-line grades out as the 10th-worst in the league since the start of last season at opening holes for rushers.
Joe Mixon has been among the bottom running backs in the league at picking up extra rushing yardage, averaging a measly 2.73 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while checking in at the 23rd percentile.
Opposing teams have run for the 3rd-least yards in the NFL (just 92 per game) against the Baltimore Ravens defense since the start of last season.

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