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Joe Mixon

Joe Mixon Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Joe Mixon Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-135/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bengals are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 6th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 63.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 71.8 plays per game.
  • The weather forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 45.0 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Bengals to call the least total plays among all teams this week with 60.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals O-line grades out as the 6th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing game statistics across the board.
  • Joe Mixon's receiving reliability have diminished this year, with his Completion% falling off from 89.2% to 77.1%.
  • The Baltimore Ravens safeties grade out as the 8th-best safety corps in the NFL this year in covering receivers.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals O-line has afforded their QB just 2.49 seconds before the pass (4th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.

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