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Joe Mixon

Joe Mixon Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Joe Mixon Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 5th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 66.8% pass rate.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have called the 6th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 61.3 plays per game.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 37.0 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 8th-most in football.
  • THE BLITZ projects Joe Mixon to notch 5.0 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 95th percentile among RBs.
  • Joe Mixon has been much more involved in his team's pass game this year (14.5% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (9.5%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bengals are a huge 7-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Joe Mixon has compiled a meager -1.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 21st percentile among running backs.
  • Joe Mixon's sure-handedness have worsened this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 89.2% to 84.9%.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has given up the 7th-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 29.0) to RBs this year.

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