Joe Mixon Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Joe Mixon

NFL · Player Props

Joe Mixon

RB · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 12, 2022 3:04 AM UTC

Analysis

Joe Mixon Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Joe Mixon has run a route on 49.3% of his team's passing plays since the start of last season, placing him in the 82nd percentile among RBs.
THE BLITZ projects Joe Mixon to accumulate 3.0 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 79th percentile among running backs.
Joe Mixon has been among the leading pass-catching RBs since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 18.0 yards per game while checking in at the 81st percentile.
Joe Mixon has been among the most reliable receivers in the league among RBs, completing an impressive 88.0% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, grading out in the 88th percentile.
The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has conceded the 7th-most receiving yards per game in the league (41.0) to RBs since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The Bengals are a massive 7-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 55.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals offense as the 7th-most sluggish paced team in football (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 27.80 seconds per play.
Opposing offenses have averaged 31.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense since the start of last season: 8th-least in the NFL.
Joe Mixon has put up a mere -1.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: a lowly 11th percentile among running backs.

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