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Joe Flacco

Joe Flacco Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Cleveland Browns vs New York Jets

Joe Flacco Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 215.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 226.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 215.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Jets are a 6-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets to be the 2nd-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The New York Jets O-line has afforded their quarterback 2.69 seconds before the pass (5th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a positive effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.

The New York Jets have gone for it on 4th down 22.0% of the time since the start of last season (10th-most in the NFL), which usually means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Jets to call the 7th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 60.7 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The New York Jets have run the 10th-least plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a mere 61.4 plays per game.

The New York Jets offensive line ranks as the 10th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.

Joe Flacco's passing effectiveness has worsened this year, notching a measly 5.80 yards-per-target vs a 8.20 mark last year.

Opposing offenses have thrown for the 10th-least yards in the NFL (just 220.0 per game) against the Cleveland Browns defense since the start of last season.

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