Joe Flacco Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Joe Flacco

NFL · Player Props

Joe Flacco

QB · Cleveland Browns

Pass Attempts

Cleveland Browns vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 10, 2023 6:06 PM EST

Analysis

Joe Flacco Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-157/+114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -157.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Browns may take to the air less in this game (and hand the ball off more) given that they be forced to start backup QB Joe Flacco.
The model projects this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Cleveland Browns have called the most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 66.3 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.5 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 7th-most in football.

Favors Under

The predictive model expects the Browns to be the 6th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 53.0% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
In this week's game, Joe Flacco is anticipated by the model to have the 11th-fewest pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 31.6.

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