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Joe Burrow

Joe Burrow TD Passes
Player Prop Week 15

Tennessee Titans vs Cincinnati Bengals

Joe Burrow TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-186/+143).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +163 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +143.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Bengals to pass on 63.0% of their downs: the 3rd-greatest rate on the slate this week.

The model projects the Bengals to be the 2nd-most pass-oriented team in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) right now with a 65.3% red zone pass rate.

In this week's game, Joe Burrow is anticipated by the projection model to average the 4th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 38.1.

With a stellar 69.2% Adjusted Completion% (88th percentile) this year, Joe Burrow ranks as one of the most accurate quarterbacks in the NFL.

With an outstanding ratio of 2.54 per game (100th percentile), Joe Burrow places as one of the leading TD passers in the league this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bengals are a 6-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a running game script.

Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 128.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The weather forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.6 pass attempts per game against the Titans defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the league.

When talking about pass protection (and the importance it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the Cincinnati Bengals profiles as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year.

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