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Joe Burrow

Joe Burrow TD Passes
Player Prop Week 10

Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals

Joe Burrow TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-227/+170).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -141 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -227.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread indicates a passing game script for the Bengals, who are -6-point underdogs.

The leading projections forecast the Bengals as the most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 67.5% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

At the moment, the 3rd-most pass-centric offense in the NFL in the red zone (62.6% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Cincinnati Bengals.

The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Our trusted projections expect Joe Burrow to throw 39.2 passes in this game, on average: the most among all QBs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Bengals are expected by the projections to call just 62.6 total plays in this contest: the 9th-fewest among all teams this week.

The 7th-lowest number of plays in football have been run by the Cincinnati Bengals this year (a measly 54.1 per game on average).

The Ravens safeties project as the 3rd-best group of safeties in the league this year when it comes to rushing the passer.

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