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Joe Burrow

Joe Burrow TD Passes
Player Prop Week 2

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Joe Burrow TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-170/+140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -165 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -170.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 2nd-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 65.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 5th-most pass-centric offense in football near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 60.3% red zone pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Bengals to run the 9th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Joe Burrow to attempt 40.2 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 3rd-most of all quarterbacks.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bengals are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals O-line profiles as the 5th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all air attack metrics across the board.
  • The Baltimore Ravens defense has yielded the 5th-least TDs through the air in football: 1.11 per game since the start of last season.

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