Joe Burrow Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Joe Burrow

NFL · Player Props

Joe Burrow

QB · Cincinnati Bengals

Rushing Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 4, 2026

Updated Oct 1, 2026 7:18 PM EST

Analysis

Joe Burrow Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Bengals to run on 35.1% of their opportunities: the lowest clip among all teams this week.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by the projection model to have only 125.5 offensive plays run: the 5th-fewest among all games this week.
The projections expect Joe Burrow to total 2.8 rush attempts in this week's game, on average: the 10th-fewest out of all QBs.
Since the start of last season, the fierce Jacksonville Jaguars run defense has yielded a meager 82.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing squads: the fewest in the league.
The Jaguars defensive ends profile as the 6th-best unit in football since the start of last season in regard to defending the run.

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