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Joe Burrow

Joe Burrow Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Dallas Cowboys vs Cincinnati Bengals

Joe Burrow Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-108/-127).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -127.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects Joe Burrow to be much more involved in his team's running game this week (14.4% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (4.9% in games he has played).

The Dallas Cowboys linebackers profile as the 5th-worst group of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 10th-least run-heavy team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 36.8% run rate.

THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-slowest pace on the slate this week, averaging 27.26 seconds per play given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

Joe Burrow's rushing effectiveness (4.14 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the NFL since the start of last season (21st percentile among quarterbacks).

The Cincinnati Bengals have gone no-huddle on a mere 2.3% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-least in football). This slows the pace, leading to less volume and stat-padding.

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