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Joe Burrow

Joe Burrow Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 2

Dallas Cowboys vs Cincinnati Bengals

Joe Burrow Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+640/-1450).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Dallas Cowboys linebackers profile as the 5th-worst group of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 4th-least run-centric team in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 39.4% red zone run rate.

THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-slowest pace on the slate this week, averaging 27.26 seconds per play given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing teams have rushed for the 6th-least TDs in football (0.72 per game) versus the Dallas Cowboys defense since the start of last season.

The Cincinnati Bengals have gone no-huddle on a mere 2.3% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-least in football). This slows the pace, leading to less volume and stat-padding.

The Cincinnati Bengals have gone for it on 4th down just 15.7% of the time since the start of last season (7th-least in the league), which typically means less offensive volume, less TD potential, and lower offensive statistics across the board.

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