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Joe Burrow

Joe Burrow Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 6

New York Giants vs Cincinnati Bengals

Joe Burrow Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 261.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 259.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 261.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Bengals as the most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 63.4% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The projections expect Joe Burrow to throw 37.2 passes in this game, on average: the 4th-most out of all quarterbacks.

With an exceptional tally of 264.0 adjusted passing yards per game (81st percentile), Joe Burrow places as one of the leading passers in the NFL this year.

Joe Burrow's passing precision has gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 67.2% to 73.2%.

Joe Burrow's 7.64 adjusted yards-per-target this season represents a noteable boost in his throwing effectiveness over last season's 6.6% figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is implied by the Bengals being a 4.5-point favorite in this game.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is anticipated by our trusted projection set to see just 124.3 total plays run: the 2nd-lowest number on the slate this week.

This year, the fierce Giants defense has yielded the 6th-least yards-after-the-catch in the league to the opposing side: a mere 4.3 YAC.

When it comes to linebackers in defending receivers, New York's LB corps has been terrific this year, projecting as the 5th-best in football.

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