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Joe Burrow

Joe Burrow Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 8

San Francisco 49ers vs Cincinnati Bengals

Joe Burrow Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 250.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 248.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 250.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bengals are a 5.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 68.1% of their opportunities: the greatest clip among all teams this week.

The projections expect Joe Burrow to throw 38.1 passes in this game, on average: the 3rd-most out of all quarterbacks.

Opposing offenses have averaged 40.6 pass attempts per game against the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Bengals are forecasted by the model to run just 60.1 plays on offense in this game: the lowest number among all teams this week.

Joe Burrow's 214.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year reflects a significant diminishment in his passing skills over last year's 289.0 figure.

Joe Burrow's passing precision has declined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 69.4% to 62.5%.

Joe Burrow's pass-game efficiency has diminished this year, averaging just 5.53 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 7.63 figure last year.

This year, the stout San Francisco 49ers defense has given up the 2nd-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing offenses: a feeble 6.5 yards.

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