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Joe Burrow

Joe Burrow Pass Attempts
Player Prop Week 3

Cincinnati Bengals vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Joe Burrow Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 34.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 34.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 63.4% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Still weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being called for in this game) generally cause better passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume.
  • In this week's game, Joe Burrow is predicted by our trusted projection set to total the 5th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 37.0.
  • The Commanders defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, inciting opposing QBs to attempt the 8th-most passes in the NFL (35.1 per game) since the start of last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 7-point advantage, the Bengals are heavily favored in this week's contest, implying much more of an emphasis on rushing than their normal approach.
  • At the moment, the 3rd-slowest paced offense in the league (in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Bengals.

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