Joe Burrow Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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NFL · Player Props

Joe Burrow

QB · Cincinnati Bengals

Pass Attempts

Cincinnati Bengals vs Washington Commanders · Week 3, 2024

Updated Sep 23, 2024 7:16 PM EST

Analysis

Joe Burrow Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 34.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 34.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 63.4% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Still weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being called for in this game) generally cause better passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume.
In this week's game, Joe Burrow is predicted by our trusted projection set to total the 5th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 37.0.
The Commanders defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, inciting opposing QBs to attempt the 8th-most passes in the NFL (35.1 per game) since the start of last season.

Favors Under

With a 7-point advantage, the Bengals are heavily favored in this week's contest, implying much more of an emphasis on rushing than their normal approach.
At the moment, the 3rd-slowest paced offense in the league (in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Bengals.