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Joe Burrow

Joe Burrow Pass Attempts
Player Prop Week 8

Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Joe Burrow Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 34.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 34.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 5th-most pass-oriented offense in football (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 67.3% pass rate.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have called the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 64.6 plays per game.
  • The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Joe Burrow has attempted 39.5 throws per game this year, grading out in the 78th percentile among quarterbacks.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bengals are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 30.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Cleveland Browns defense this year: least in the league.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have gone no-huddle on a mere 2.3% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (least in the NFL). This deadens the pace, leading to less volume and stat accumulation.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have elected to go for it on 4th down just 15.7% of the time since the start of last season (least in the league), which generally means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive metrics across the board.

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