Joe Burrow Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 20

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Joe Burrow

NFL · Player Props

Joe Burrow

QB · Cincinnati Bengals

Pass Attempts

Buffalo Bills vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 20, 2022

Updated Jan 22, 2023 7:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Joe Burrow Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 39.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 39.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bengals are a 5.5-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 67.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 131.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Joe Burrow to attempt 40.9 passes this week, on average: the 2nd-most of all QBs.

Favors Under

The Cincinnati Bengals have gone no-huddle on a lowly 2.3% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (least in the league). This deadens the pace, resulting in less volume and stat-padding.
The Cincinnati Bengals have gone for it on 4th down just 15.7% of the time since the start of last season (least in the NFL), which typically means less offensive volume, less TD potential, and lower offensive statistics across the board.

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