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Joe Burrow

Joe Burrow Pass Attempts
Player Prop Week 20

Buffalo Bills vs Cincinnati Bengals

Joe Burrow Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 39.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 39.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bengals are a 5.5-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 67.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 131.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

THE BLITZ projects Joe Burrow to attempt 40.9 passes this week, on average: the 2nd-most of all QBs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Cincinnati Bengals have gone no-huddle on a lowly 2.3% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (least in the league). This deadens the pace, resulting in less volume and stat-padding.

The Cincinnati Bengals have gone for it on 4th down just 15.7% of the time since the start of last season (least in the NFL), which typically means less offensive volume, less TD potential, and lower offensive statistics across the board.

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