Joe Burrow Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Joe Burrow

NFL · Player Props

Joe Burrow

QB · Cincinnati Bengals

Interceptions

Cincinnati Bengals vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 4, 2026

Updated Oct 1, 2026 11:27 AM EST

Analysis

Joe Burrow Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-120/-106).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 64.9% of their chances: the greatest clip on the slate this week.
In this contest, Joe Burrow is projected by the projection model to average the most pass attempts among all QBs with 39.2.
The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been a glaring pass funnel since the start of last season, leading opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the NFL (36.4 per game) since the start of last season.

Favors Under

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by the projection model to have only 125.5 offensive plays run: the 5th-fewest among all games this week.
The Cincinnati O-line grades out as the 10th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a harmful influence on all passing attack metrics across the board.
The Jaguars have intercepted 1.15 targets per game since the start of last season, ranking as the 2nd-best defense in the NFL by this statistic.
The Jacksonville Jaguars linebackers profile as the 3rd-best LB corps in the league since the start of last season in defending pass-catchers.

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