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Joe Burrow

Joe Burrow Interceptions
Player Prop Week 6

New Orleans Saints vs Cincinnati Bengals

Joe Burrow Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 5th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 62.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Joe Burrow has totaled 1.02 interceptions per game this year, checking in at the 21st percentile among QBs.

The New Orleans Saints have intercepted 0.20 balls per game this year, ranking as the 4th-worst defense in football by this standard

The New Orleans Saints pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.55 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 4th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bengals are a 3-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals offense as the 7th-worst paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 29.51 seconds per play.

Opposing offenses have averaged 34.0 pass attempts per game versus the New Orleans Saints defense this year: 10th-least in the NFL.

The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line grades out as the 9th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all passing offense stats across the board.

The New Orleans Saints linebackers profile as the 4th-best LB corps in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

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