Joe Burrow Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 18

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Joe Burrow

NFL · Player Props

Joe Burrow

QB · Cincinnati Bengals

Interceptions

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 18, 2022

Updated Jan 8, 2023 9:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Joe Burrow Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 8th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 61.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Joe Burrow has attempted 38.6 throws per game this year, checking in at the 86th percentile among QBs.
The Baltimore Ravens have stacked the box against opponents on 18.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-most in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The Bengals are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Baltimore Ravens safeties rank as the 7th-best safety corps in football this year in pass coverage.
The Cincinnati Bengals O-line has allowed their QB a measly 2.49 seconds before the pass (4th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
The Baltimore Ravens pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a mere 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 5th-quickest in football since the start of last season.

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