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Joe Burrow

Joe Burrow Interceptions
Player Prop Week 18

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Joe Burrow Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 8th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 61.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Joe Burrow has attempted 38.6 throws per game this year, checking in at the 86th percentile among QBs.
  • The Baltimore Ravens have stacked the box against opponents on 18.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-most in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bengals are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Baltimore Ravens safeties rank as the 7th-best safety corps in football this year in pass coverage.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals O-line has allowed their QB a measly 2.49 seconds before the pass (4th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
  • The Baltimore Ravens pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a mere 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 5th-quickest in football since the start of last season.

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