Joe Burrow Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Joe Burrow

NFL · Player Props

Joe Burrow

QB · Cincinnati Bengals

Completions

Tennessee Titans vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 15, 2024

Updated Dec 16, 2024 2:31 AM EST

Analysis

Joe Burrow Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Bengals to pass on 63.0% of their downs: the 3rd-greatest rate on the slate this week.
In this week's game, Joe Burrow is anticipated by the projection model to average the 4th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 38.1.
With a stellar 69.2% Adjusted Completion% (88th percentile) this year, Joe Burrow ranks as one of the most accurate quarterbacks in the NFL.

Favors Under

The Bengals are a 6-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a running game script.
Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 128.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.6 pass attempts per game against the Titans defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the league.
When talking about pass protection (and the importance it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the Cincinnati Bengals profiles as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year.

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