Joe Burrow Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 4

My Account Log Out

reorder

Joe Burrow

NFL · Player Props

Joe Burrow

QB · Cincinnati Bengals

Completions

Cincinnati Bengals vs Miami Dolphins · Week 4, 2022

Updated Sep 30, 2022 12:15 AM UTC

Analysis

Joe Burrow Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 8th-most pass-heavy team in football (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 63.8% pass rate.
Opposing offenses have averaged 36.8 pass attempts per game against the Miami Dolphins defense since the start of last season: 7th-most in the league.
The Miami Dolphins have stacked the box versus opponents on 21.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-most in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The Bengals are a 4-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 120.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Joe Burrow to attempt 32.4 passes in this contest, on average: the 8th-least of all QBs.
The Cincinnati Bengals O-line profiles as the 9th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.
Joe Burrow's throwing accuracy has worsened this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 69.6% to 66.3%.

More Joe Burrow Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow