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Joe Burrow

Joe Burrow Carries
Player Prop Week 9

Cincinnati Bengals vs Buffalo Bills

Joe Burrow Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+107/-137).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -137.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

While Joe Burrow has earned 7.8% of his offense's carries in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a much bigger part of Cincinnati's ground game in this week's game at 13.2%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals to run on 34.0% of their opportunities: the 2nd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 124.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Calm weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being predicted in this game) generally mean increased passing efficiency, increased TD potential, increased air volume, and lower ground volume.

The predictive model expects Joe Burrow to total 2.8 rush attempts this week, on balance: the 4th-fewest among all quarterbacks.

The Cincinnati Bengals O-line ranks as the 10th-worst in the league last year in run support.

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