Joe Burrow Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 5

My Account Log Out

reorder

Joe Burrow

NFL · Player Props

Joe Burrow

QB · Cincinnati Bengals

Carries

Arizona Cardinals vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 5, 2023

Updated Oct 9, 2023 12:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Joe Burrow Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bengals are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
The predictive model expects Joe Burrow to be a much bigger part of his offense's running game in this week's game (13.9% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (3.0% in games he has played).
Arizona defensive tackles project as the 2nd-worst DT corps in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.

Favors Under

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to run on 34.4% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest clip on the slate this week.
Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cincinnati Bengals are projected by the model to call just 61.2 offensive plays in this game: the 7th-fewest among all teams this week.
The Cincinnati Bengals have called the 10th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a mere 55.8 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
This week, Joe Burrow is forecasted by the projection model to total the 7th-fewest carries among all QBs with 2.9.

More Joe Burrow Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow