J.K. Dobbins Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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J.K. Dobbins

NFL · Player Props

J.K. Dobbins

RB · Denver Broncos

Touchdowns

Carolina Panthers vs Denver Broncos · Week 9, 2026

Updated Nov 8, 2026 12:52 PM EST

Analysis

J.K. Dobbins Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+326/-344).

Key Factors

Favors Over

At the present time, the 7th-most pass-oriented team in football near the goal line (59.6% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Denver Broncos.
The leading projections forecast this game to see the largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 136.0 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
While J.K. Dobbins has received 41.9% of his offense's red zone carries in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a much smaller part of Denver's running game near the end zone in this contest at 23.9%.
J.K. Dobbins's sure-handedness have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate rising from 77.6% to 100.0%.

Favors Under

This game's spread indicates a rushing game script for the Broncos, who are favored by 3 points.
The Denver Broncos have called the 3rd-fewest plays in football this year, averaging just 53.1 plays per game.
With a lousy 0.0% Red Zone Target Rate (1st percentile) this year, J.K. Dobbins places as one of the pass-catching running backs with the lowest utilization rates near the end zone in the league.
When talking about pass protection (and the impact it has on all pass attack metrics), the O-line of the Broncos grades out as the 8th-worst in football this year.
The receiving TD column reads "0" on J.K. Dobbins's player page this year.

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