J.K. Dobbins Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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NFL · Player Props

J.K. Dobbins

RB · Denver Broncos

Touchdowns

Denver Broncos vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 6, 2026

Updated Oct 15, 2026 8:22 PM EST

Analysis

J.K. Dobbins Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+199/-208).

Key Factors

Favors Over

At the moment, the 5th-most pass-heavy offense in football in the red zone (60.5% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Denver Broncos.
In terms of a defense's effect on tempo, at 28.04 seconds per play, the model projects the Denver Broncos to be the 9th-quickest in football (adjusted for context) at the moment.
The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being called for in this game, while ground volume may suffer.
In regards to air yards, J.K. Dobbins grades out in the lofty 77th percentile among running backs this year, accumulating a superb 1.0 per game. (due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage, this is much more noteworthy than it appears since most RBs average negative air yards).
J.K. Dobbins's sure-handedness have improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 77.6% to 100.0%.

Favors Under

Among all RBs, J.K. Dobbins grades out in the 90th percentile for red zone carries this year, making up 57.9% of the workload in his offense's ground game near the goal line.
J.K. Dobbins has been not been very involved his team's passing offense near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of just 0.0% this year, which ranks in the 1st percentile when it comes to running backs.
When talking about pass protection (and the impact it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Denver Broncos grades out as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year.
J.K. Dobbins ranks in the 1st percentile among RBs when it comes to catching TDs this year, averaging just 0.00 per game.
When it comes to linebackers in pass coverage, Seattle's group of LBs has been one of the most skilled this year, ranking as the 3rd-best in the NFL.