J.K. Dobbins Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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J.K. Dobbins

NFL · Player Props

J.K. Dobbins

RB · Denver Broncos

Touchdowns

Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 3, 2026

Updated Sep 27, 2026 8:22 PM EST

Analysis

J.K. Dobbins Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+178/-182).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Broncos to pass on 61.8% of their opportunities: the 3rd-greatest rate among all teams this week.
Right now, the 6th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL near the end zone (60.9% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Denver Broncos.
The model projects this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 130.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The 9th-most plays in the league have been run by the Denver Broncos since the start of last season (a colossal 58.4 per game on average).
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 34.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Rams defense since the start of last season: 6th-most in the league.

Favors Under

The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has yielded the 4th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (77.1%) versus RBs since the start of last season (77.1%).
As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Los Angeles's collection of safeties has been exceptional since the start of last season, ranking as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

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