J.K. Dobbins Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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NFL · Player Props

J.K. Dobbins

RB · Denver Broncos

Touchdowns

Denver Broncos vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 2, 2026

Updated Sep 20, 2026 3:47 PM EST

Analysis

J.K. Dobbins Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+130/-133).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Broncos to pass on 59.9% of their plays: the 8th-highest rate on the slate this week.
The leading projections forecast the Denver Broncos to be the 2nd-most pass-focused offense in football near the end zone (context-neutralized) right now with a 62.3% red zone pass rate.
Our trusted projections expect the Broncos to call the 5th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.3 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
The 8th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Denver Broncos since the start of last season (a monstrous 58.7 per game on average).
Opposing teams have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense since the start of last season: most in the NFL.

Favors Under

Out of all running backs, J.K. Dobbins grades out in the 91st percentile for red zone carries since the start of last season, making up 58.8% of the volume in his team's running game near the end zone.
With a poor 0.0% Red Zone Target% (1st percentile) since the start of last season, J.K. Dobbins places as one of the pass-catching running backs with the least usage near the end zone in the NFL.
When talking about air yards, J.K. Dobbins grades out in just the 10th percentile among running backs since the start of last season, totaling just -3.0 per game.
J.K. Dobbins ranks in the 1st percentile among RBs when it comes to catching TDs last year, averaging just 0.00 per game.
J.K. Dobbins has run for 0.33 TDs per game on the ground since the start of last season (on average), one of the largest figures in the league when it comes to running backs (80th percentile).