J.K. Dobbins Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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NFL · Player Props

J.K. Dobbins

RB · Denver Broncos

Rushing Yards

Denver Broncos vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 2, 2026

Updated Sep 20, 2026 4:07 PM EST

Analysis

J.K. Dobbins Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 57.5 (-104/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 59.5 @ -156 before it was bet down to 57.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the Broncos to call the 5th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.3 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
The 8th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Denver Broncos since the start of last season (a monstrous 58.7 per game on average).
In this game, J.K. Dobbins is expected by the predictive model to rank in the 81st percentile among running backs with 15.3 rush attempts.
J.K. Dobbins has been given 60.9% of his team's run game usage since the start of last season, ranking him in the 91st percentile among RBs.
With a fantastic tally of 64.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (93rd percentile), J.K. Dobbins rates as one of the leading pure runners in the league since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The model projects the Broncos to be the 8th-least run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 40.1% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Since the start of last season, the strong Jacksonville Jaguars run defense has allowed a mere 81.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing offenses: the fewest in the league.