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J.K. Dobbins

J.K. Dobbins Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
J.K. Dobbins Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 64.5 (-148/+112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 68.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 64.5 @ +112.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Chargers to run on 47.9% of their plays: the 4th-highest rate among all teams this week.
  • The model projects J.K. Dobbins to garner 18.3 rush attempts in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 96th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • J.K. Dobbins has received 53.8% of his offense's carries this year, ranking him in the 83rd percentile among RBs.
  • J.K. Dobbins has picked up 82.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the biggest figures in football among RBs (93rd percentile).
  • With an excellent tally of 5.86 adjusted yards per carry (98th percentile), J.K. Dobbins has been as one of the top RBs in football this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects this game to have the 4th-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 126.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Chargers have called the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a measly 50.5 plays per game.
  • The Denver Broncos defense has produced the 5th-best efficiency against opposing ground games this year, giving up just 4.02 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).

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