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J.K. Dobbins

J.K. Dobbins Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
J.K. Dobbins Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 50.5 (-190/+140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 54.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 50.5 @ +140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 3rd-most run-focused offense on the slate this week with a 47.1% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The 9th-highest number of plays in football have been called by the Los Angeles Chargers since the start of last season (a whopping 59.8 per game on average).
  • In this contest, J.K. Dobbins is expected by the projections to slot into the 75th percentile among RBs with 12.6 carries.
  • Among all running backs, J.K. Dobbins ranks in the 76th percentile for rush attempts this year, comprising 45.0% of the workload in his offense's rushing attack.
  • J.K. Dobbins's rushing effectiveness (10.06 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in football this year (100th percentile when it comes to running backs).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Chargers to run the 8th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.6 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (2-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while rush volume may suffer.
  • The Steelers safeties project as the best safety corps in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to run defense.

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