J.K. Dobbins Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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J.K. Dobbins

NFL · Player Props

J.K. Dobbins

RB · Denver Broncos

Receptions

Denver Broncos vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 6, 2026

Updated Oct 15, 2026 8:12 PM EST

Analysis

J.K. Dobbins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-235/+175).

Key Factors

Favors Over

In terms of a defense's effect on tempo, at 28.04 seconds per play, the model projects the Denver Broncos to be the 9th-quickest in football (adjusted for context) at the moment.
The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being called for in this game, while ground volume may suffer.
J.K. Dobbins's sure-handedness have improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 77.6% to 100.0%.
The Seahawks pass defense has surrendered the 9th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (88.5%) vs. RBs this year (88.5%).

Favors Under

The Broncos have been the 6th-least pass-centric team in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 57.9% pass rate.
J.K. Dobbins's 16.0% Route Participation% this year marks a substantial reduction in his pass attack volume over last year's 29.3% mark.
When talking about pass protection (and the impact it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Denver Broncos grades out as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year.
When it comes to linebackers in pass coverage, Seattle's group of LBs has been one of the most skilled this year, ranking as the 3rd-best in the NFL.

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