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J.K. Dobbins

J.K. Dobbins Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
J.K. Dobbins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+105/-137).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -127 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -137.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With an elite 51.0% Route Participation% (93rd percentile) since the start of last season, J.K. Dobbins places as one of the pass-catching running backs with the biggest workloads in football.
  • Our trusted projections expect J.K. Dobbins to garner 3.7 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 84th percentile among RBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Los Angeles Chargers to pass on 52.1% of their downs: the 4th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • The model projects this game to have the 4th-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 126.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Chargers have called the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a measly 50.5 plays per game.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers O-line ranks as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
  • The Broncos safeties rank as the 2nd-best safety corps in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

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