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J.K. Dobbins

J.K. Dobbins Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Los Angeles Chargers vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
J.K. Dobbins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-115/-119).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -109 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -119.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) typically correlate with increased passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased air attack volume, and lower run volume.
  • With an impressive 51.1% Route Participation% (85th percentile) this year, J.K. Dobbins rates as one of the RB receiving threats with the most usage in the NFL.
  • Our trusted projections expect J.K. Dobbins to accrue 3.4 targets in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 76th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • With a remarkable 2.6 adjusted catches per game (81st percentile) this year, J.K. Dobbins ranks among the top pass-catching RBs in football.
  • With an exceptional 92.1% Adjusted Completion% (81st percentile) this year, J.K. Dobbins places as one of the most sure-handed receivers in football when it comes to RBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Chargers are an enormous 8-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Los Angeles Chargers to pass on 54.1% of their opportunities: the 7th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to see the 2nd-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 124.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The 9th-fewest plays in the NFL have been run by the Chargers this year (only 55.4 per game on average).
  • Opposing offenses teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Titans, totaling the 4th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 29.6 per game) this year.

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