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J.K. Dobbins

J.K. Dobbins Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Cleveland Browns vs Los Angeles Chargers

J.K. Dobbins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 135.4 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

In this game, J.K. Dobbins is anticipated by the model to position himself in the 83rd percentile among RBs with 3.6 targets.

J.K. Dobbins has been an integral part of his team's offense, posting a Target Share of 11.5% this year, which puts him in the 86th percentile when it comes to running backs.

J.K. Dobbins has been one of the most reliable receivers in the NFL when it comes to running backs, catching a stellar 91.2% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile.

The Browns pass defense has struggled when opposing running backs have gotten into space, conceding an average of 8.92 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 3rd-most in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 9th-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Los Angeles Chargers this year (a mere 56.1 per game on average).

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Cleveland Browns, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in football (just 30.4 per game) this year.

As it relates to air yards, J.K. Dobbins ranks in the measly 19th percentile among running backs this year, totaling just -3.0 per game.

The Los Angeles Chargers offensive line profiles as the 7th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all pass game stats across the board.

J.K. Dobbins ranks as one of the least effective pass-catchers in the league among RBs, averaging just 4.17 adjusted yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 15th percentile.

More J.K. Dobbins Player Props

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