J.K. Dobbins Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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NFL · Player Props

J.K. Dobbins

RB · Denver Broncos

Carries

San Francisco 49ers vs Denver Broncos · Week 4, 2026

Updated Oct 3, 2026 8:22 PM EST

Analysis

J.K. Dobbins Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-108/+107).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ +107.

Key Factors

Favors Over

As far as a defense's effect on pace, at 27.85 seconds per snap, the predictive model expects the Broncos to be the 6th-quickest in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment.
Among all RBs, J.K. Dobbins grades out in the 86th percentile for rush attempts this year, accounting for 54.7% of the workload in his team's ground game.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Broncos as the 5th-least run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 39.2% run rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The 49ers linebackers rank as the 2nd-best LB corps in the league since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.