J.K. Dobbins Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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NFL · Player Props

J.K. Dobbins

RB · Denver Broncos

Carries

Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 3, 2026

Updated Sep 27, 2026 8:32 PM EST

Analysis

J.K. Dobbins Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-129/+101).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ +101 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -129.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The model projects this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 130.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The 9th-most plays in the league have been run by the Denver Broncos since the start of last season (a colossal 58.4 per game on average).

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Denver Broncos to run on 38.2% of their opportunities: the 3rd-lowest rate on the slate this week.
The Los Angeles Rams defensive ends profile as the 3rd-best group of DEs in football since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.